Capitalmind
Capitalmind
Actionable insights on equities, fixed-income, macros and personal finance Start 14-Days Free Trial
Actionable investing insights Get Free Trial
General

Nandan Denim Will Issue Warrants At Rs. 200 to an FII Fund When Its Current Price is 130

Nandan Denim Limited will issue warrants worth Rs. 50 cr. to Polus Global Fund, which will have to convert it at Rs. 200 per share. This is a “warrant” for which Polus will pay Rs. 12.5 cr – or 25% – upfront. They pay the remaining on conversion anytime within 18 months. The stock shot up 12% in trade today to reverse a short term downtrend it was seeing. Note: This was a Capital Mind Premium portfolio stock (we were in at 108, out at 140 in our momentum portfolio)

image

The fund owns stakes in a couple of Zee companies, Radico Khaitan, Mandhana and ABG. (The press release also mentions Omaxe, Era infra, Gujarat Apollo, Tata Global and IDFC too)

[blurb-capmind-prem]

From Capital Mind Snap:

image

None of these companies have been great performers in the recent past, with the exception of Sangam India which has gone up about 300% this year. Polus picked up 200,000 shares of Sangam in June, apparently at Rs. 129 a share, and the stock is at Rs. 267 today. Sangam is in a similar business (textiles) and makes PV dyed yarn in India.

Nandan Denim is a denim manufacturer and the second largest in India, and has had phenomenal Q1 results. The devaluation of the rupee, too, in Q2 will hold it good, and it is rapidly expanding capacity. It will spend Rs. 612 cr. on capacity expansion, which is financed with 70% debt and as part of the equity, it has its own accruals plus the money that comes in from Polus.

Why Rs. 200 per share? When the current price was 115?

This is a part that usually gets me uncomfortable. Why would they raise money at Rs. 200 per share? Why is Polus okay with paying a Rs. 200 per share when the current share price is Rs. 130 – even after that 12% increase? Can’t they buy the same 25 lakh shares from the market itself?

The answer usually is that if they tried to buy into the company, the price would probably go up beyond the 200 rupees per share anyhow. Nandan denim has 4.5 cr. shares ouf which 60% are with the promoter. Only about 1.7 cr. shares are held by the public. To get 25 lakh shares they would have to gobble up 15% of the non-promoter market share, and that might drive the price up anyhow.

But the important point is: they pay just Rs. 12.5 cr. now – and get to convert anytime in the next 18 months. If they don’t convert, the company keeps the money anyhow. This is better than an FCCB where the conversion is optional, but the company has to return the money if not converted.

On the other side – the company gets only Rs. 12.5 cr. now, and that might not help it too much with the capex. The deal will only give the rest of the money IF Polus converts – and if it really wanted to convert, it would have bought shares right now as an institutional placement, not as a warrant. This is where the jigsaw puzzle has a missing piece.

Nandan’s business is good, and based in Gujarat where there is a significant textile presence, port activity and proximity to the raw material. The company has shown excellent results recently (30%+ growth in EPS) and is at a  P/E of less than 12 even now. Is it a good time to expand capacity using debt? Interest rates seem to be coming down, and with the dollar at 65+ this might still have juice in it.

Disclosure: Not invested, but as mentioned before, was a CapM portfolio stock . This is not advice.

Subscribe to Capital Mind:

To subscribe to new posts by email, once a day, delivered to your Inbox:

[wysija_form id=”1″]

Also, do check out Capital Mind Premium , where we provide high quality analysis on macro, fixed income and stocks. Also see our portfolio which has given stellar returns in our year, trade by trade as we progress. Take a 30-day trial:

[wysija_form id=”2″]

Like our content? Join Capitalmind Premium.

  • Equity, fixed income, macro and personal finance research
  • Model equity and fixed-income portfolios
  • Exclusive apps, tutorials, and member community
Subscribe Now Or start with a free-trial