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Commentary

November at Capital Mind

Here’s what we at Capital Mind brought to you in November this year.

Capital Mind

Macro:

• Three Hidden Facts in the GDP Growth Number of 5.3% for Sep 2014

• Is the New Kisan Vikas Patra Creating Holes to Store Black Money?

• Indian Exports Contract for First Time in Seven Months in Oct 2014

• Japan Shocks With Negative GDP Growth

• The Government Talks Austerity; Mid-Year Fiscal Deficit Highest in 5 years

Fiscal Deficit

• Capital Mind Gets it Right: RBI asks Government To Hedge Crude Exposure

• RBI Removes 46,000 cr. of Money Supply, Sells Bonds. What’s Cooking?

• The Russian Ruble Continues to Fall, Loses 40% in 2014

• Hedonic Adjustments For Inflation: Shady Ways To Make Things Look Good

• Yen Hits Seven-Year Low Against the Dollar

USD-JPY

• RBI Trades the Dollar: Buys More in Sep, and Likely Even More in October – Will this cause Inflation?

• CPI at Record Low in Oct 2014, But There’s Something Scary About the Inflation Data

• IIP Hits 2.5% in Sep 2014, Manufacturing Stages a Comeback

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Stocks:

• Nigeria Devaluates Currency To Deal With Crude Oil; Bajaj Auto Shares Drop 8%

• Crude Drop and ICRA Upgrades Takes Jet Airways Up 18.5%, Price War Looms Ahead

• Nippon Life to Increase Stake in RCAM; Reliance Capital Shares Close at 4.24% Higher

• Kotak-ING Vysya Bank Merger – The Story in Pictures

• Q2 Profit Growth for Nifty Companies Shockingly Low After a Vibrant Q1

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• Nifty’s 4.5% Move in October takes 2014 returns to 32%, Best Year Since 2009

• GTL Infra Debt Payments Mount; Potential Default on The Cards?

• Nifty Companies Q2 Growth Slows; Pales in Comparison to Q1 Growth Levels

• Nifty EPS Growth Continues To Be Sub 15%, P/E Not In Bubble Territory

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News & General:

• Jobs at Capital Mind: Looking For a Full Stack Developer To Join Us For Our Financial Analytics and Data Platform

• Veritas Analyst Who Authored Negative Report on IndiaBulls Arrested; Is It Time For Collective Action?

• What to Make of the Richly Funded Taxi Services, Uber and Ola

• Unbreaking News: Amazon Is Not About To “Shut Down its India Operations”. It is as Likely to be Indicted for Fraud

• Taibbi Again: The Witness That Cost JP Morgan Chase $9 Billion

Capital Mind Premium

• Portfolio: Whipsawing Stops and Thinking Longer Term

• Macronomics: Housing Price Index Updated for Mid-2014, Prices Up Marginally

• Webinar Recording: Adjusting Portfolios and Stock Prices for Bonuses/Dividends

• The Big Mo Corner: Retail Investors Barred

• The CAPM Portfolio: Two Stops on Lousy Results and Consequent Moves

• Bank Nifty Companies Q2 Growth Surges; Net NPA Ratio Inches Upwards

Bank-Nifty

• Optionalysis: The CAPM MA20 Shows Another Outlier Trigger

• Macronomics: Forex Data Shows Heavy RBI Buying, FPI Inflows and Good Times for Yen Borrowers

• LearnTA: Pivot Points and Their Range Implications

• The CAPM Portfolio: Q2 Reviews and Revised Stops

• Macronomics: The Really Scary Part Of CPI Inflation Today

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The Month That Was

November has been a busy month in the Indian Markets, with companies releasing their Q2 results all the way till the 1st week of November, coupled with plenty of macroeconomic surprises (crude oil plummeting even more, Ruble collapsing, the Japanese economy shrinking) and much more.

November also marked the one-year anniversary of Capital Mind Premium. We would love to hear from you with suggestions and requests on what you would like to see us incorporate into our offerings from here on.