Capitalmind
Capitalmind
Actionable insights on equities, fixed-income, macros and personal finance Start 14-Days Free Trial
Actionable investing insights Get Free Trial
Charts & Analysis

September PMI Falls to 50 (Services and Manufacturing)

India’s HSBC Markit Purchasing Managers Index have been released for September.

The Manufacturing PMI fell down to 50.4 from the August’s 52.6, which is the lowest in 2.5 years.

image

Above 50 is expansion so we are still growing, but at a considerably lower pace. Noteworthy is that export orders were contracting due to “weaker global economic conditions”, and that inflation pressures remain firmly in place.

The Composite PMI (includes Manufacturing and Services) declined to 50.2 from August’s 54.5, a very big drop and the lowest since November 2008, which was a pretty horrible month if you remember. Services by itself went to 49.8 down from 53.8, suggesting some contraction.

image

We’re slowing. It now needs to show in decreased inflation figures over the next six months – the RBI will be careful to not reverse their moves unless they see a sustained drop.